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Japanese manufacturers' confidence index turned negative to the central bank's forecast in December. A short-term survey in Reuters, Japan, found that Japanese manufacturers' business confidence deteriorated further in December due to concerns about US protectionist policies. The survey of 505 large Japanese non-financial enterprises showed that manufacturers' confidence index fell from 5 in November to -1 in December, which was the first time since last February, and the number of pessimists exceeded optimists for the first time in 10 months. The loss of business confidence may cast a shadow over the Bank of Japan's forecast. The Bank of Japan had previously predicted that a steady recovery driven by rising wages and consumption would help inflation reach the 2% target in a sustainable way and justify further interest rate hikes. Many manufacturing industries have reported that business confidence has declined. Among electronic machinery manufacturers, steel and non-ferrous metal manufacturers, pessimists far exceed optimists.Jin Guanping, Economic Daily: Implement more active and promising macro policies. The article points out that the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025, and put forward "implement more active and promising macro policies" and "strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment" in view of the macro policy orientation next year, and clearly implement more active fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies. This important deployment has released a clear signal of strengthening macro-control and strong and steady growth. Implementing a "more active" fiscal policy means increasing fiscal countercyclical adjustment and improving the effectiveness of fiscal policy while maintaining policy stability and continuity. "Moderately loose" means that monetary policy will better reflect the supportive stance and orientation, maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity, and further reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises and residents.Goldman Sachs: I don't agree that gold can't reach $3,000 under a strong dollar. Goldman Sachs said that we don't agree with the view that the price of gold can't rise to $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 when the dollar remains strong for a long time. We predict that gold will reach $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, and the reduction of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (rather than the strengthening of the US dollar) is the downside risk of this prediction.

Market information: Honda will terminate its autonomous driving partnership with General Motors.Hengrui Pharma: HRS-4729 injection was approved for clinical trial. Hengrui Pharma announced that the company and its subsidiary Fujian Sheng Di Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. received the Notice of Approval for Clinical Trial of HRS-4729 injection approved and issued by National Medical Products Administration. The drug is a polypeptide drug independently developed, and it is a GLP-1R/GIPR/GCGR triple agonist, which is suitable for obese or overweight patients. Up to now, HRS-4729 injection has invested about 19.56 million yuan in research and development.The second meeting of the Global Foreign Exchange Market Committee in 2024 was successfully held. From December 5 to December 6, 2024, the second meeting of the Global Foreign Exchange Committee (GFXC) in 2024 was held online. The meeting discussed the promotion and implementation of global standards, the second round of three-year review of global standards, the operation of foreign exchange market and related market hot issues. Representatives from China Foreign Exchange Market Steering Committee (CFXC) attended the meeting. This meeting discussed the final results of the second round of three-year review of global standards. The Working Group on Foreign Exchange Settlement Risk and the Working Group on Foreign Exchange Data respectively introduced the final revision suggestions of the relevant provisions of the global standards, and how the Working Group continuously improved according to the public comments and feedback from the local foreign exchange market committees and in October 2024. The revision of the Global Standards aims to strengthen the relevant principles of foreign exchange settlement risk management and enhance the transparency of specific types of foreign exchange transactions and the use of customer-generated data on electronic trading platforms. GFXC members strongly support this.

Market information: Honda will terminate its autonomous driving partnership with General Motors.Guohai Securities gave Youyou Food Co., Ltd. the initial rating of buying.Sarah Friar, CFO of OpenAI: Corporate customers will pay (at least) thousands of dollars for using artificial intelligence (AI) tools. In the end, it will be reasonable.